Table 3 Discrimination and calibration of risk prediction tools for morbidity outcomes
|  | AUROC POMS-defined morbidity on D3: AUROC (95% CI; standard error) | HL statistic (p value) | AUROC POMS-defined morbidity or failure to return to preoperative mobility on D3 | HL statistic (p value) | EBWL < 50% at 1 year | HL statistic (p value) | AUROC: < 28 days alive and out of hospital | HL statistic (p value) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
POSSUM | 0.60 (0.50–0.69; 0.04) | 1.85 (0.87) | 0.63 (0.55–0.72) | 1.36 (0.93) | 0.60 (0.52–0.69; 0.04) | 11.64 (0.04) | 0.66 (0.58–0.74; 0.04) | 19.74 (0.47) |
OS-MRS | 0.62 (0.53–0.70; 0.05) | NA | 0.63 (0.55–0.71) | NA | 0.59 (0.50–0.67; 0.04) | NA | 0.62 (0.55 0.70; 0.04) | NA |